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FED Signals Interest Rate Path of 3 Cuts in 2024

Implications of the FED Interest Rate Path of 3 Cuts in 2024 The Federal Reserve has recently signaled its intention to implement three rate cuts in 2024, raising questions about the implications of such a move and its potential impact…

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Soft Landing Euphoria Can Be Elusive

Soft Landing Euphoria Can Be Elusive In economics, a soft landing refers to a scenario where the economy transitions from a period of rapid growth to a more sustainable pace without entering into a recession. Achieving a soft landing is…

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Bank Of Japan Yen Notes And Coins

BOJ Policy Decision

Bank of Japan Keeps Rates Low The BOJ sees domestic demand as weak and wage growth is behind inflation, the the BOJ still thinks stimulus is needed probably until the second half next year. The focus of Governor Ueda will…

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Bank Of England One Pound Note

BOE Falling Inflation and Rate Forecast

Downside Surprise on CPI Inflation Data The consensus forecast was for 7.0% for the CPI (Consumer Price Index) for the UK.  However, inflation unexpectedly fell from 6.8% to 6.7%.  It was previously at 7.4%. This was mainly a result of…

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Oil Pipelines And Rigs In Desert

Oil Prices and Inflation

How do oil prices factor into inflation? Oil prices play a significant role in the global economy, with its impact reaching far beyond the energy sector. Fluctuations in oil prices can have a profound effect on inflation rates, influencing consumer…

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ECB September Rate Forecast

ECB Expected to Raise Rates Our view is with the market, with a majority (66%) in this case that sees the ECB raising rates.  Economists are split evenly on this.   After 9 consecutive rate hikes, rates have gone up and…

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Federal Reserve System And Bank Of England Emblems

Monetary Policy Outlook

Short-term Divergence in Monetary Policy Expected The US economy is currently the best positioned of the major economies.   In contrast, Europe has the Ukraine-Russian war plus week demand in China.  Unlike other areas, European data on inflation is mixed puts…

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