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Turkey On Map

Turkish Rate Hike Expectations

The Turkish Central Bank will need to hike interest rates today.   The question is by how much.  Currently, expectations from the market are very broad reflecting the high certaintly of the decision.  That is a result of restrictive factors such…

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Turkey Political Map

Turkish New Economic Plan Post-Election

The Turkish economy has been facing a multitude of challenges in the post-election period. The lira has been performing poorly, inflation rates are high, and regional disparities still exist. However, the new finance minister, Mehmet Simsek, has come forward with…

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Turkey Map

Turkish Dollarlization

Turkey has essentially embraced a dollarlization policy.  The reasons for this are both typical and unique.  Last week, the Turkey stock exchange was halted.  This event had a bit of a lag based on the sliding Turkish Lira and the…

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Map Of Turkey In Near East

New US Middle East Policy

The US policy in the Middle East will become more anti-Iranian over the next couple of months.  The key date here is the Iran Nuclear Deal sign off that Trump will need to make in mid May. Here is a…

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Map Of Turkey

Turkish Referendum and Dutch Spat

The tensions between Turkey and the Netherlands has heated up with threats of sanctions.  From an investment point of view, it is politically motivated on both sides due to the elections in the Netherlands and the Turkish Referendum. The current…

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Turkey Map

Turkish Failed Coup and Investment Environment

The failed coup was over before it really started.  It looked like a desperate attempt to overthrow the current AKP government. Unlike coups of the past in Turkey, this one did not have the support of the electorate.  Firstly, about…

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Turkey Physical Map

Turkish Election: In-Depth Analysis

The AK Party (AKP) won parliamentary majority in the elections yesterday.  With 316 seats out of 550 seats, it means that they do not need to form a coalition government and will be able to carry on as before.  The…

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Map Of Lebanon And Syria

Syria: Is a Deal in the Works?

There are strong reasons to think so. The recent deal between Turkey and the EU is related towards finding a solution for Syria. The fight for Aleppo could result in a large wave of migrants (500,000 plus) flowing to Turkey…

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Turkey Map

Turkish EU Deal is a Game Changer

Just as Turkey seemed to be sliding into escalating violence and chaos, an opportunity arose and President Erdogan agreed to 3 Billion Euro aid package with the EU.  The impetus of the deal was the increasing migration mess in Europe…

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Map Of Syria

Syrian End Game

What does Russian involvement mean for Syria? Most Probable Reason:  To obtain a place at the negotiating table on Syria. Putin will prop up Assad to improve his hand.  The No-Fly Zone would have led to regime change which Russia…

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