What are the prospects for reduced geopolitical risk in 2024? The key drivers of geopolitical risk are the Russian-Ukrainian War, Israeli-Hamas Conflict and friction between the US and China. We see a mixed picture on the drivers of geopolitical risk…
What the plan for Ukraine in NATO means? The plan for Ukraine to join NATO has significant geopolitical implications. NATO, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is a collective defense alliance aimed at countering potential threats from non-member states. Ukraine's inclusion…
The geopolitical risk from the Wagner Group mess has subsided and is now short-lived. However, the implications of a weaker nuclear armed Russia for the medium and long-term still poses a potentially high geopolitical risk to the world and the…
Russia is now reacting from the recent success of the Ukranians in capturing territory in the northern front. The Ukrainian plan was executed with the help of the Americans and British in terms of planning and suceeded beyond expectations.™ Putin…
The west led by the US has imposed very tough sanctions on Russia. However, one of the key sanctions needs further explanation. Thus, this analysis will focus on the sanctions against the Russian central bank. In short, this is one…
Russian geopolitics in the Mediterranean are wider than Syria. In our previous article, Syrian End Game, we discussed the reasons behind the recent Russian intervention in Syria. Essentially, the Russians need to protect their only naval base in the Mediterranean…
What does Russian involvement mean for Syria? Most Probable Reason: To obtain a place at the negotiating table on Syria. Putin will prop up Assad to improve his hand. The No-Fly Zone would have led to regime change which Russia…