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Market Outlook Q4 2023

Our outlook is that that the combination of over-priced markets, AI-hype, and geo-political risk will mean a correction sometime in September or October.  This is  is based on the recent escalation of geo-political risk between China and the US on…

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China Deflation and Market Implications

China has recently slipped into a period of deflation. This has raised concerns among economists and policymakers about the state of China's economy and its implications for global trade. In this article, we will explore the concept of deflation, its…

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Global Macro Watch™ – Market Risks

Investor sentiment reached new highs after the Trump speech last week.  Instead of putting new money into the market at this stage, we would suggest investors to tread carefully. Over the last couple of months, we have been increasing our…

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Global Macro Alerts™ – US Budget Deadline Analysis

Expect lots of volatility as politics once again predominates. With both sides drawing lines in the sand and refusing to budge a federal shutdown seems increasing likely. The U.S. senate voted along party lines to extend financing till November 15th,…

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