Macro Blog

22Mar 23

FED Rate Decision

The rate decision is due at 2:00 pm today.  More important than the rate decision is the end policy rate signals from the FED.  Based on tightening credit conditions which…

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16Mar 23

ECB Hikes Rates

Today the ECB raised rates by 0.5 to tackle the inflation problem in Europe.  This raise comes on the back of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) offering support to Credit…

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12Mar 23

SVB Collapse

The Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapse is the second largest bank failure in US history.  It is only dwarfed by the collapse of Washing Mutual Bank in September 2008.   SVB…

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22Sep 22

Russian-Ukrainian War Analysis

Russia is now reacting from the recent success of the Ukranians in capturing territory in the northern front.  The Ukrainian plan was executed with the help of the Americans and…

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08Sep 22

ECB Rate Hike Projection

Our projection for the ECB rates in a couple of hours is that the rate hike will be stronger than expected for several reasons. Energy inflation has impacted the key…

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