ECB September Rate Forecast
ECB Expected to Raise Rates Our view is with the market, with a majority (66%) in this case that sees the ECB raising rates. Economists are split evenly on this. After 9 consecutive rate hikes, rates have gone up and…
Monetary Policy Outlook
Short-term Divergence in Monetary Policy Expected The US economy is currently the best positioned of the major economies. In contrast, Europe has the Ukraine-Russian war plus week demand in China. Unlike other areas, European data on inflation is mixed puts…
ECB Outlook
ECB Battles Lingering Inflation with Hold or Hike says Lagarde ECB President Lagarde states that rates will not decrease but with either hold or hike to battle stubborn inflation. The mandate of the ECB is price stability. Facing tight job…
ECB Rate Hike Projection
Our projection for the ECB rates in a couple of hours is that the rate hike will be stronger than expected for several reasons. Energy inflation has impacted the key countries of Europe, specifically Germany. Aversion to inflation within the…
ECB – Weak Data and German Slowdown
Germany is experiencing a slowdown in exports thanks to weakness in emerging markets, especially China which accounts for 6.5% of German exports. The slowdown in China could be more than is currently in the news and that will affect German…