Possible US-Iran Deal but Complications Exist Recent high-level talks between the United States and Iran show a fragile opening for peace, but deep mistrust, recent violence, and uncompromising demands have blocked a deal. Sustaining the current cease-fire, building confidence measures,…
Ceasefire: Nuclear Enrichment and Strait of Hormuz The two-week ceasefire between the United States, Israel, and Iran is fragile and leaves many core disputes unresolved. Key issues—Iran’s nuclear program, Lebanon/Hezbollah, demands for compensation, the risk of terrorism and proxy attacks,…
Trump-Xi Meeting Postponed due Conflict in Middle East U.S. President Donald Trump unexpectedly asked China to delay Xi Jinping’s planned visit amid the widening Iran war, casting doubt on the high-profile diplomatic exchange meant to stabilize U.S.-China ties and extend…
Iranian Regime Weakened: Can it survive? The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has struggled to maintain its deterrent reputation amid ongoing conflict in the Persian Gulf. Despite continuing attacks on Gulf infrastructure and some resilience, the IRGC has suffered operational…
Iran Facing Capitulation or Confrontation The US has essentially given Iran two choices. The first, accept ending enrichment of uranium, get rid of long-range ballistic missle program, end support for regional Iranian proxy groups and treat Iranian citizens better. In…
Implications for US and EU Transatlantic Ties US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, speaking at the Munich Security Conference, urged closer US–Europe cooperation to build a “new Western century,” framing the relationship as a civilisational partnership. He criticized liberal policies—especially…
Geopolitics behind US-Taiwan Trade Deal The Trump administration and Taiwan signed a final reciprocal trade agreement keeping a 15% U.S. tariff on imports from Taiwan (effective average rate of about 12%) while Taiwan will eliminate or reduce many tariffs on…
Geopolitics of Takaichi's Japan Election Win Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) won a landslide lower-house victory, driven in part by nationalist rhetoric and tough talk on China and Taiwan from leader Sanae Takaichi. The result gives the LDP and…
Canadian Decision has Geopolitical Implications Canada’s long-delayed decision on the F‑35 has become deeply politicized and that cancelling the purchase in favour of the Swedish Gripen would seriously damage North American defence cooperation and provoke a harsh reaction from the…
Mark Carney's Trade Diversification Strategy Mark Carney’s Davos speech (Jan 20) framed a decisive rupture in the post‑war multilateral economic order: the old rules no longer guarantee stability or prosperity, and countries — including middle powers like Canada — must…
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