Skip to content
Bank Of England One Pound Note

BOE Falling Inflation and Rate Forecast

Downside Surprise on CPI Inflation Data The consensus forecast was for 7.0% for the CPI (Consumer Price Index) for the UK.  However, inflation unexpectedly fell from 6.8% to 6.7%.  It was previously at 7.4%. This was mainly a result of…

Read more
Federal Reserve System And Bank Of England Emblems

Monetary Policy Outlook

Short-term Divergence in Monetary Policy Expected The US economy is currently the best positioned of the major economies.   In contrast, Europe has the Ukraine-Russian war plus week demand in China.  Unlike other areas, European data on inflation is mixed puts…

Read more
Bank Of England Note With Plastic House Models

Bank of England Rate Rise Uncertainty

The Bank of England is facing a difficult decision today.  Expectations are for a hike of 0.25 to 0.50.  Given the nature of the mortagage market in the UK where fixed rates beyond 5 years is not common, means that…

Read more
Bank Of England Twenty Pound Note

BOE Rate Decision

Rates in the UK were cut to lowest point ever over Brexit concerns.   In short, the increased uncertainty over the move to leave the EU has impacted confidence and business investment. This has affected consumer spending, the real estate market,…

Read more
Bank Of England Note With Plastic House Models

UK BOE keeps rates on hold – Future?

The labour market is very tight with unemployment at the medium term trend of 5.5%, this is down from over 8% a few years ago.  Thus, the job market is back to normal and probably tightening.  This would be a…

Read more
error: Alert: Content selection is disabled!!