Strong Possibility of the Leave Campaign winning. Brexit is clearly more likely to happen. Please see my quick analysis in the previous article. Expectations: GBP to drop to around 1.20 or even less by year end. US Dollar and Japanese…
The vote is going to be close. During the last few days, the markets and the polls showed the Stay Campaign with a slight edge. Today, I closed out most of my 'risk-on' positions with a profit. It was just…
Just as Turkey seemed to be sliding into escalating violence and chaos, an opportunity arose and President Erdogan agreed to 3 Billion Euro aid package with the EU. The impetus of the deal was the increasing migration mess in Europe…
This deal is really about implementing the Asian ‘pivot’ since China is not included purposely. There are 12 countries that represent 40% of world GDP, with the US and Japan being the key ones. All three NAFTA countries (US, Canada…
India and US Pivot against China The recent election of Mr. Modi in India has sped up strategic relations with the US. In short, India sees benefits in the form of economic cooperation and geopolitical considerations. The geopolitics is not…
South China Sea Tensions Rise In the South China Sea, the geopolitical game is becoming more dangerous. Tensions are higher since China has been constructing more artificial islands around the Spratly chain, which is oil rich and claimed by numerous…
The Syriza government in Greece is at a critical juncture. Having failed to deliver on campaign promises thus far, it has instead focused on several small symbolic victories. The visit to Russia to meet with Putin and making a recent…
Today, macro factors, both on the political and economic fronts, will play a decisive role on the future direction of asset prices. From the political wrangling over the US Debt ceiling to timing and the speed of weaning the US…
Expect lots of volatility as politics once again predominates. With both sides drawing lines in the sand and refusing to budge a federal shutdown seems increasing likely. The U.S. senate voted along party lines to extend financing till November 15th,…
The recent arrest of the ultra-right Golden Dawn party leaders was sparked when a member of Golden Dawn murdered an anti-fascist rapper. The group had previously enjoyed impunity partly as a result of being the third most powerful party. Recent…
Get the Free
Macro Newsletter!
Macro Insights
