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Geopolitical Risk Outlook for 2026

The Changing Global Order and Geopolitics The year 2025 marked the end of the old global order as President Donald Trump upended long‑standing norms, institutions and alliances with tariffs, funding cuts, and aggressive domestic use of executive power. His style…

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US and Congo Agreement on Critical Minerals

US and Congo enter Critical-Minerals and Security Agreement The US and DR Congo signed a broad critical-minerals and economic-security agreement that gives US buyers preferential access to minerals from state-owned Congolese firms and paves the way for around $1bn in…

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TSMC: Industrial Espionage and Missle Strike Threat on Taiwan

Risks of Industrial Secrets and China Threat TSMC (Taiwan Semicondutor Manufacturing Company), the world’s leading cutting-edge chipmaker, remains dominant despite recent threats from U.S. tariff rhetoric and a corporate-espionage investigation. The company fired employees suspected of trying to obtain cutting‑edge…

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Vladimir Putin visits Delhi: India-Russia Ties?

Foreign Policy of India and Ties to Russia Russian President Vladimir Putin visited New Delhi for the first time since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, renewing an annual summit with India amid growing US pressure on New Delhi over its…

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China and Japan Escalate Spat over Taiwan

Tensions Rise over Taiwan Comments by Takaichi Japan-China tensions rose after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi warned a Chinese attack on Taiwan could threaten Japan’s survival, prompting Beijing to urge its citizens to stop visiting Japan. Tokyo dispatched a senior diplomat…

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Chinese Industrial Espionage in Europe and UK

Europe under Threat from Industrial Espoinage Chinese state-backed hackers have carried out a sustained, escalating cyber campaign across Europe from 2020–2025 that goes beyond simple espionage. These operations have targeted vaccine research, government and parliamentary networks, telecom and cloud infrastructure,…

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