What are the prospects for reduced geopolitical risk in 2024? The key drivers of geopolitical risk are the Russian-Ukrainian War, Israeli-Hamas Conflict and friction between the US and China. We see a mixed picture on the drivers of geopolitical risk…
How are the Red Sea Houthi attacks affecting oil prices? The Red Sea Houthi attacks have had a significant impact on global oil prices and the energy market as a whole. The ongoing conflict in the region has led to…
Ukraine Aid and US Politics The US Senate Republicans recently blocked the Ukraine Aid Bill proposed by President Joe Biden, raising concerns about the potential impact on Ukraine and continued ability to fight Russia. The proposed bill aimed to provide…
Key Issues between the EU and China EU leaders met with President Xi Jinping in Beijing to discuss trade and economic issues, particularly China's industrial overcapacity and its impact on European markets. The EU is concerned about China's increasing industrial…
Is Geopolitical Risk Propertly Priced into NVDA Valuation? Nvidia, a leading technology company, recently released its Q3 earnings report, providing insights into its financial performance and future prospects. In this analysis, we'll delve into various aspects of Nvidia's earnings, including…
Key Outcomes of the Biden and Xi Jinping Meeting President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping recently reached an agreement to resume military-to-military communications during their meeting at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Summit. The resumption of military communication…
Oil Price Geopolitical Risk Premium Deflates Geopolitical risk plays a vital role in influencing the price of crude oil in the global market. The relationship between geopolitical risk and crude oil prices is complex and multifaceted. Understanding this connection is…
Rising Tensions and Slowdown to Impact Nvidia Valuation As we noted in our October 19th post, rising geopolitical tension resulting from the new chip export restrictions will impact semiconductor companies like Nvidia. After the restrictions were announced Nvida's stock fell. …
Is the Valuation of Apple Pricing in Geo-politics? Our view is that the market is partially pricing in the risks that Apple could face from what we see as increasing tensions between the US and China. We recently looked at…
Regional Geo-Politics and Economic Interests One of the casualties of the escalation in Gaza has been the recent India-Middle East- Europe Economic Corridor (IMEEC) was announced during the G20 meeting in India. The first step to this plan was the…
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