skip to Main Content
Map Of Mexico

Mexican Geo-Political Risk

Having approached the NAFTA issue with very hardball tactics and striking at the sensibilities of the Mexicans with the implementation of the wall along the Mexican border, has increased tensions. The implications of this approach with Mexico are not positive…

Read more
Map Of China

Increasing Risk – US and China

The coming trade friction and quite possibly geopolitical tensions between the US and China should be taken seriously by market players.  In our opinion, this risk has increased. As a prelude for what to expect, look no further than what…

Read more
Map Of China On Globe

Chinese – US Policy Uncertainty

The recent phone call to from the president of Taiwan to Trump certainly inflated the Chinese and increased uncertainty in Asia.  In contrast to a Clinton victory, China is going to have a much more difficult time assessing what a…

Read more
Map Of Italy On Globe

Italian Referendum

The Italian Referendum is a potential macro risk.  The vote is for a more simplified government so that changes can be implemented easier.  It is in fact a vote for more centralization. Business activity should be easier since local authorities…

Read more
Turkey Map

Turkish Failed Coup and Investment Environment

The failed coup was over before it really started.  It looked like a desperate attempt to overthrow the current AKP government. Unlike coups of the past in Turkey, this one did not have the support of the electorate.  Firstly, about…

Read more
Metal Dice With The Currency Symbols Of Europe, England, United States, Russia, Japan, And China On A Steel Mesh Background

FX Forecast Alert: GBP

Strong Possibility of the Leave Campaign winning.  Brexit is clearly more likely to happen.  Please see my quick analysis in the previous article. Expectations: GBP to drop to around 1.20 or even less by year end. US Dollar and Japanese…

Read more
Oil Pipelines And Rigs In Desert

Oil Prices and Doha Meeting

The Doha Meeting will impact oil prices for 2016.   Many analyst are confused at what will transpire at this meeting. There seems to be a weak view building that the meeting will produce some type of agreement but lots…

Read more
Map Of Turkey In Near East

US and Middle East – Policy & Risks

Changes are at hand regarding US policy in the Middle East.  In this article, I will argue the US pullback is misguided due to a narrow definition of risks and benefits. While it is true that US interests have been…

Read more
Turkey On Map

Syrian Deal in the Works

Now that Putin has achieved his goals in Syria, expect a Syrian Deal to be put on the fast track. Putin’s first goal was popularity back home and it looks like he was very successful here.  Secondly, he was able…

Read more
error: Alert: Content selection is disabled!!