Uncertainty Still Persists on Trump Tariffs The U.S. economy grew by 2.5% last year, driven by strong consumer spending, although this rate was slightly lower than the previous year's 3.2%. Despite economic challenges and high inflation, the job market remained…

FED Caution: Inflation Data and Expected Trump Policy Recent inflation data for October indicates persistent inflation, challenging the Federal Reserve's goal of achieving a 2% inflation rate. Key indicators, such as the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price…

The Federal Reserve cut benchmark interest rates by half a percentage point, marking the first easing cycle since the pandemic began. This decision reflects concerns over a weakening U.S. economy and aims to maintain economic strength and progress towards inflation…

Pivitol Jobs Report will Impact Size of FED Rate Cuts The upcoming August employment report is crucial for the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rate cuts, expected in mid-September. While recent inflation data has shown a slowdown, concerns about a…

Barring any Surprises Expect Market Expectations of Rate Cuts US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is preparing for a press conference following a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market expectations suggest that the Fed will start cutting interest rates…

FED Keeps Rates on Hold Summary: The Federal Reserve decided to leave interest rates unchanged due to concerns about inflation and affirmed the need for more evidence before considering rate cuts. Chairman Jerome Powell stated that it might take longer…

Economic Data Send Mixed Signals Today,  the market received mixed signals from the economic data releases (GDP, jobless claims) and this outlook is just ahead of the FOMC meeting next week.   For example, Q1 GDP came in at 1.6% annualized…

FED Three Rate Cut Plan is on Track for 2024 Federal Reserve officials indicated that they still expect to cut interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point this year, leading to record highs in US equity markets. The market…

US Federal Reserve Close to Cutting Rates Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell indicated that the Fed is close to being confident about reducing interest rates, aiming for inflation to sustainably reach 2%. Investors have priced in a quarter-point rate cut…

Fed Officials Push Back on Expectations to Cut Rates The recently released Federal Reserve (Fed) minutes from the January 30-31 meeting shed light on the current stance of Fed officials regarding interest rates. The minutes show a cautious approach by…