US Tariffs and Bolsonaro Verdict Push US-Brazil Apart Donald Trump has dramatically escalated U.S. interference in Brazil by imposing a 50% tariff on many Brazilian goods and applying Magnitsky sanctions to Judge Alexandre de Moraes, citing alleged threats to free…
Russia Tests NATO Air Defenses with Drone Attack Nato fighter jets and air defenses shot down Russian-made drones that entered Polish airspace during a massive Russian strike on Ukraine. Poland called the incident an “unprecedented violation,” triggered NATO’s Article 4…
US Pressures Mexico to Close Chinese 'Backdoor' to USMCA Mexico announced a plan to raise import tariffs on automobiles and other goods from countries without free-trade agreements (notably China) to the maximum WTO-allowed levels. The measures—affecting about $52 billion of…
The Geopolitics of the Global South Competition Great-power competition—especially U.S. pressure to force developing countries into binary choices between the West and China—is counterproductive. Many countries in the global South prefer strategic autonomy and multiple alignments rather than being coerced…
China Led SCO Summit Pushes Alternatives to West The SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) consists of 10 member countries of which China and Russia are the two most important. In addition, central Asian states such as Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan…
Geopolitical Balancing Act for India's Foreign Policy Over the past 25 years U.S. policy toward India relied on an informal doctrine of “strategic altruism”: Washington supported India’s rise expecting long-term benefits—economic markets, a democratic counterweight to China, security cooperation—without demanding…
US Tariffs on India - Political and Economic Fallout The US imposed 50% tariffs on many Indian goods, effective Wednesday, aiming to punish India for buying Russian oil and pressure it to curb energy transactions that fund Moscow’s war in…
New US Industrial Policy Taking Shape? U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is exploring having the federal government take equity stakes in semiconductor firms that receive CHIPS Act funding, potentially in exchange for grants. The plan would apply beyond Intel to…
US FED Independence Under Threat from Trump President Trump’s preference for a Fed chair who prioritizes low interest rates risks politicizing the US central bank and undermining its independence. Several leading candidates appear dovish or loyal to Trump, raising the…
Chinese Trade War Strategy on Rare Earth Elements Risky in Long-Term China recently added seven rare-earth elements to its export control list amid rising geopolitical trade tensions, increasing its leverage because it dominates global refining and processing capacity. Although these…
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