Oil Market Drops on Fears of Demand Destruction
We expect more pain in this sector at least in the short to medium term. Saudi Arabia along with Russia as part of Opec+ had agreed to keep the production cuts and a weaking outlook may have played a…
Macro Valuation® | Report – Oil Stocks
Oil Stock Valuations Face High Uncertainty Our recent articles on oil prices and oil stocks raised several risks to the oil price and broader economy. Given where we are in the global economic cycle, the article argued a negative view…
Oil Prices and Oil Stocks
Surging Oil Prices and Analysis of Oil Stocks Oil Prices and Oil Stocks have been a topic of intense discussion and analysis in recent times. The volatility in the energy sector and the invasion of Ukraine have had a significant…
BOJ Policy Decision
Bank of Japan Keeps Rates Low The BOJ sees domestic demand as weak and wage growth is behind inflation, the the BOJ still thinks stimulus is needed probably until the second half next year. The focus of Governor Ueda will…
BOE Falling Inflation and Rate Forecast
Downside Surprise on CPI Inflation Data The consensus forecast was for 7.0% for the CPI (Consumer Price Index) for the UK. However, inflation unexpectedly fell from 6.8% to 6.7%. It was previously at 7.4%. This was mainly a result of…
Oil Prices and Inflation
How do oil prices factor into inflation? Oil prices play a significant role in the global economy, with its impact reaching far beyond the energy sector. Fluctuations in oil prices can have a profound effect on inflation rates, influencing consumer…
G20 Geopolitics
Post G20 Geopolitical Implications The geopolical implations post the G20 meeting in India are important. Our analyis highlights several important areas to monitor. Inclusion of the African Union (AU) and the proposal for a middle east transport corrider to connect…
ECB September Rate Forecast
ECB Expected to Raise Rates Our view is with the market, with a majority (66%) in this case that sees the ECB raising rates. Economists are split evenly on this. After 9 consecutive rate hikes, rates have gone up and…
ARM IPO and Market Sentiment
ARM IPO and AI Boom The ARM IPO (Initial Public Offering) is currently valued at $54.5 and how this plays out will have implications beyond this IPO. This will potentially affect the AI Boom (or Hype). Softbank, the Japanese investment…
Monetary Policy Outlook
Short-term Divergence in Monetary Policy Expected The US economy is currently the best positioned of the major economies. In contrast, Europe has the Ukraine-Russian war plus week demand in China. Unlike other areas, European data on inflation is mixed puts…
