Apple Earnings and FOMO Trade
Some analysts have kept a buy on Apple such Citi. Don't buy the AI-hype (generative ai) as we think the stock is due for a fall this Thursday. There are several headwinds that have increased the chance of the company…
The Impact of the Fitch Credit Rating Downgrade
Deterioration in standards of governance eminating from the recent political standoffs and last-minute resolutions on the debt ceiling finally pushed Fitch to downgrade the US fro AAA to AA+. In reality the difference between these two ratings in minimal and…
Bank of England to Raise Rates to Combat Inflation
The decision today is either 0.25 or a 0.50 interest rate rise. Arguments can be made for both scenarios today. If the BOE raises by 0.25 this will be seen as not doing enough but expectations are for the rate…
BOJ Signals Flexibility on Yield Curve Control
Bank of Japan Moves Closer to Normalization with Loosening of Yield Curve Control What is Yield Curve Control The central bank basically buys Japanese government bonds whenever the 10-year yields risk going beyond the 0.5% allowable range or below zero. …
Market Outlook Q3 2023
Stock Market Outlook Q3 2023: Stay Cautious Our forecast is for major central banks to keep raising rates till year end. This will put a break on economies and potentially lead to a global synchronized recession putting pressure on profits…
ECB Outlook
ECB Battles Lingering Inflation with Hold or Hike says Lagarde ECB President Lagarde states that rates will not decrease but with either hold or hike to battle stubborn inflation. The mandate of the ECB is price stability. Facing tight job…
FED Outlook
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System - Jerome Powell FMOC Raises Rates by 0.25 The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell lifted interest rates by 0.25 moving the federal funds rate to 5.5% from 5.25%. This was widely anticipated…
Recent NATO Plan for Ukraine and Impact on Markets?
What the plan for Ukraine in NATO means? The plan for Ukraine to join NATO has significant geopolitical implications. NATO, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is a collective defense alliance aimed at countering potential threats from non-member states. Ukraine's inclusion…
Russian Geopolitical Risk Analysis
The geopolitical risk from the Wagner Group mess has subsided and is now short-lived. However, the implications of a weaker nuclear armed Russia for the medium and long-term still poses a potentially high geopolitical risk to the world and the…
Bank of England Rate Rise Uncertainty
The Bank of England is facing a difficult decision today. Expectations are for a hike of 0.25 to 0.50. Given the nature of the mortagage market in the UK where fixed rates beyond 5 years is not common, means that…
