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Map of Russia and Europe with Tank on Russian Map

Trump-Putin Call begin talks on Peace in Ukraine

Trump Sidelines EU and Ukraine in Talk with Putin The U.S. President Donald Trump has initiated talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to end the war in Ukraine, which began in February 2022. However, the…

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Map of Russia and Europe with Tank on Russian Map

Long-range Missiles into Russia have Implications for Ukraine

Escalation Before Negotiations in the Ukraine Russia War Russia's recent missile strike on Ukraine marks a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict, signaling tensions with NATO and the United States. Moscow reportedly used an experimental intermediate-range ballistic missile, potentially capable…

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Globe - Russia

How to Interpret Putin and New Nuclear Doctrine Lower Threshold

Nuclear Doctrine Change Implies More Agressive Russia ahead of Negotiations Russian President Vladimir Putin announced significant changes to the country's nuclear doctrine, lowering the threshold for nuclear weapon use. This announcement coincides with escalating tensions due to Western support for…

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Globe - Russia

Ukraine Incursion Puts Pressure On Putin

What the Ukrainian Offensive Means? Ukrainian forces have launched a significant offensive into Russia's Kursk province, marking a notable shift in the conflict after years of war. This bold move aims to regain initiative and morale, while also exposing vulnerabilities…

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Korean Penisula Map

Russia and North Korea Sign New Pact

New Pact Increases Nuclear Risks in East Asia This article covers the recent defense pact signed between Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, highlighting the reasons behind the timing of the agreement and its potential…

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Fighter Jets on Aircraft Carrier

What about Geopolitical Risk for 2024?

What are the prospects for reduced geopolitical risk in 2024? The key drivers of geopolitical risk are the Russian-Ukrainian War, Israeli-Hamas Conflict and friction between the US and China.  We see a mixed picture on the drivers of geopolitical risk…

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Political Map of Europe on Globe

Recent NATO Plan for Ukraine and Impact on Markets?

What the plan for Ukraine in NATO means? The plan for Ukraine to join NATO has significant geopolitical implications. NATO, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is a collective defense alliance aimed at countering potential threats from non-member states. Ukraine's inclusion…

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RUSSIA - 2013: dedicated the 20th Anniversary of the State Duma

Russian Geopolitical Risk Analysis

The geopolitical risk from the Wagner Group mess has subsided and is now short-lived.  However, the implications of a weaker nuclear armed Russia for the medium and long-term still poses a potentially high geopolitical risk to the world and the…

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RUSSIA - 2013: dedicated the 20th Anniversary of the State Duma

Russian-Ukrainian War Analysis

Russia is now reacting from the recent success of the Ukranians in capturing territory in the northern front.  The Ukrainian plan was executed with the help of the Americans and British in terms of planning and suceeded beyond expectations.™ Putin…

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