ECB Rates on Hold with June Cuts on Table The European Central Bank (ECB) signaled a likely interest rate cut as early as June, lowered inflation forecasts, and expressed concerns about rapid wage growth potentially pushing inflation above the 2…
ECB Decision Keeps Rates on Hold The European Central Bank (ECB) recently announced its decision to keep interest rates unchanged, signaling its commitment to maintaining stability in the face of economic uncertainties. The ECB plays a crucial role in shaping…
Inflation Target of 2% Driving ECB Policy Following up on the FED pivot and dovish stance for 2024, the ECB pushes the narrative that it will be more cautious in its approach to the 2% inflation target. For the ECB…
ECB Expected to Raise Rates Our view is with the market, with a majority (66%) in this case that sees the ECB raising rates. Economists are split evenly on this. After 9 consecutive rate hikes, rates have gone up and…
Short-term Divergence in Monetary Policy Expected The US economy is currently the best positioned of the major economies. In contrast, Europe has the Ukraine-Russian war plus week demand in China. Unlike other areas, European data on inflation is mixed puts…
ECB Battles Lingering Inflation with Hold or Hike says Lagarde ECB President Lagarde states that rates will not decrease but with either hold or hike to battle stubborn inflation. The mandate of the ECB is price stability. Facing tight job…
Our projection for the ECB rates in a couple of hours is that the rate hike will be stronger than expected for several reasons. Energy inflation has impacted the key countries of Europe, specifically Germany. Aversion to inflation within the…
Germany is experiencing a slowdown in exports thanks to weakness in emerging markets, especially China which accounts for 6.5% of German exports. The slowdown in China could be more than is currently in the news and that will affect German…
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