Risks and Opportunities for China and Russia The U.S.-Israeli war with Iran has created strategic opportunities for Russia and China to weaken U.S. influence, learn from U.S. military operations, and deepen ties with Iran. Moscow and Beijing benefit if the…
Trump-Xi Meeting Postponed due Conflict in Middle East U.S. President Donald Trump unexpectedly asked China to delay Xi Jinping’s planned visit amid the widening Iran war, casting doubt on the high-profile diplomatic exchange meant to stabilize U.S.-China ties and extend…
Chinese Response on Iran Strikes Seen as Weak The U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei have upended global geopolitics and complicated an upcoming Trump–Xi summit in Beijing. China's official response has been measured—strongly worded but restrained—reflecting…
Geopolitics behind US-Taiwan Trade Deal The Trump administration and Taiwan signed a final reciprocal trade agreement keeping a 15% U.S. tariff on imports from Taiwan (effective average rate of about 12%) while Taiwan will eliminate or reduce many tariffs on…
Geopolitics of Takaichi's Japan Election Win Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) won a landslide lower-house victory, driven in part by nationalist rhetoric and tough talk on China and Taiwan from leader Sanae Takaichi. The result gives the LDP and…
Global Power Shifts or more of the Same? Despite frequent claims of American decline and talk of a rising "multipolar world," the United States remained the dominant global power during the first Trump term in 2018. Historical cycles of perceived…
Impact of Chinese Structural Weaknesses and Export Reliance China’s record goods trade surplus — over $1 trillion in the first 11 months of the year — underscores the scale and effectiveness of its industrial strategy (from rare earths to EVs…
Tensions Rise over Taiwan Comments by Takaichi Japan-China tensions rose after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi warned a Chinese attack on Taiwan could threaten Japan’s survival, prompting Beijing to urge its citizens to stop visiting Japan. Tokyo dispatched a senior diplomat…
Europe under Threat from Industrial Espoinage Chinese state-backed hackers have carried out a sustained, escalating cyber campaign across Europe from 2020–2025 that goes beyond simple espionage. These operations have targeted vaccine research, government and parliamentary networks, telecom and cloud infrastructure,…
US China Trade Truce for One Year After months of brinkmanship, Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping reached a tentative trade truce during an October 30 meeting in South Korea that pauses several imminent US and Chinese trade measures, calms…
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