Escalation to Iran and Risk to Strait of Hormuz Any threat to the world's most important energy choke point, the Strait of Hormuz, will rattle the global energy markets. Thus the Israel-Hamas War could escalate into a wider conflict. With…
Escalating Risk Ends in Unity Government The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas has once again escalated, resulting in a high risk of an all-out war. The recent Hamas attack has caught many by surprise, leading to increased tensions in…
A 16-year High in the 10-year Bond Raises Costs and Risk The 10-year bond is the benchmark rate that the market uses to price all sorts of financial assets for both households and businesses. For exampale, it is used in…
We expect more pain in this sector at least in the short to medium term. Saudi Arabia along with Russia as part of Opec+ had agreed to keep the production cuts and a weaking outlook may have played a…
Oil Stock Valuations Face High Uncertainty Our recent articles on oil prices and oil stocks raised several risks to the oil price and broader economy. Given where we are in the global economic cycle, the article argued a negative view…
Surging Oil Prices and Analysis of Oil Stocks Oil Prices and Oil Stocks have been a topic of intense discussion and analysis in recent times. The volatility in the energy sector and the invasion of Ukraine have had a significant…
Bank of Japan Keeps Rates Low The BOJ sees domestic demand as weak and wage growth is behind inflation, the the BOJ still thinks stimulus is needed probably until the second half next year. The focus of Governor Ueda will…
Downside Surprise on CPI Inflation Data The consensus forecast was for 7.0% for the CPI (Consumer Price Index) for the UK. However, inflation unexpectedly fell from 6.8% to 6.7%. It was previously at 7.4%. This was mainly a result of…
How do oil prices factor into inflation? Oil prices play a significant role in the global economy, with its impact reaching far beyond the energy sector. Fluctuations in oil prices can have a profound effect on inflation rates, influencing consumer…
Post G20 Geopolitical Implications The geopolical implations post the G20 meeting in India are important. Our analyis highlights several important areas to monitor. Inclusion of the African Union (AU) and the proposal for a middle east transport corrider to connect…
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