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RUSSIA - 2013: dedicated the 20th Anniversary of the State Duma

Russian Geopolitical Risk Analysis

The geopolitical risk from the Wagner Group mess has subsided and is now short-lived.  However, the implications of a weaker nuclear armed Russia for the medium and long-term still poses a potentially high geopolitical risk to the world and the…

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Bank of England Note with Plastic House Models

Bank of England Rate Rise Uncertainty

The Bank of England is facing a difficult decision today.  Expectations are for a hike of 0.25 to 0.50.  Given the nature of the mortagage market in the UK where fixed rates beyond 5 years is not common, means that…

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Turkey on Map

Turkish Rate Hike Expectations

The Turkish Central Bank will need to hike interest rates today.   The question is by how much.  Currently, expectations from the market are very broad reflecting the high certaintly of the decision.  That is a result of restrictive factors such…

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Turkey Political Map

Turkish New Economic Plan Post-Election

The Turkish economy has been facing a multitude of challenges in the post-election period. The lira has been performing poorly, inflation rates are high, and regional disparities still exist. However, the new finance minister, Mehmet Simsek, has come forward with…

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