MacroRisk-Index™ December 2016
MacroRisk-Index™ December 2016 The main risk is Trump for 2017. His populism has already soured relations with Mexico with Europe, specifically Germany now. This threat is also tied to Brexit…
FED Meeting – What to look for?
The FED meeting today is important for setting up future rate moves. I would pay less attention to the data and more attention to the tone of the language. Regarding…
Mexican Geo-Political Risk
Having approached the NAFTA issue with very hardball tactics and striking at the sensibilities of the Mexicans with the implementation of the wall along the Mexican border, has increased tensions.…
NAFTA Negotiation Forecast
The new Trump administration has met with auto executives recently. He has threatened a 35% tax on imports from Mexico. Yesterday, without notifying the Mexican delegation, Trump and his press…
Increasing Risk – US and China
The coming trade friction and quite possibly geopolitical tensions between the US and China should be taken seriously by market players. In our opinion, this risk has increased. As a…
FED Rate Forecast for 2017
Our forecast for future rate hikes by the FED in 2017 depend on inflationary pressures arising from the new economic policies of Trump. In general, inflation seems to be picking…