Strong Possibility of the Leave Campaign winning. Â Brexit is clearly more likely to happen. Â Please see my quick analysis in the previous article. Expectations: GBP to drop to around 1.20… The vote is going to be close. Â During the last few days, the markets and the polls showed the Stay Campaign with a slight edge. Today, I closed out most… Our position on Brexit is that it will be very close but will not happen. Â There are several reasons that we think the vote will swing in favor of staying… The Doha Meeting will impact oil prices for 2016. Â Many analyst are confused at what will transpire at this meeting. There seems to be a weak view building that… Our forecast for FED rate hikes in 2016 was 2 hikes for 2016. Â We strongly doubted the then prevailing market view of 3 to 4 hikes. Â It is now clear… Oil Forecast An oil price recovery is the key to a commodity rebound since oil is priced in dollars and it is an input into commodity production. The continuation of…
FX Forecast Alert: GBP
High Chance UK will Leave EU
Brexit Vote Forecast
Oil Prices and Doha Meeting
FED 2016 Rate Forecast
Oil Forecast – March 2016
23Jun 16
